Submit your guesses here! (http://docs.google.com/forms/d/10zUEbb53zJB4NL9-w6lztLYAfHa4P5SmKhwKGPJZCu8)
Rules:
1. Only one guess per person, per day.
2. Betas / Mods are not allowed to compete using insider information that the rest of the competitors do not have.
I may or may not post data about guesses given. I make no guarantees until the winner is announced.
Don't post official guesses in this thread, click the link at the top to submit them, there is a nice form there.
Guesses not submitted via that form are
I guessed first. ;D
August 16th
Quote from: thepenguin on July 26, 2013, 02:28:02 PM
Rules:
2. Betas / Mods are not allowed to compete, as we have information that the rest of you do not.
Darn it!
Just when I thought I had a chance of winning something.
Quote from: Cavemaniac on July 26, 2013, 06:30:12 PM
Quote from: thepenguin on July 26, 2013, 02:28:02 PM
Rules:
2. Betas / Mods are not allowed to compete, as we have information that the rest of you do not.
Darn it!
Just when I thought I had a chance of winning something.
Yeah... I just entered before I read that, so disregard mine. It is probably wildly inaccurate anyways...
I voted! :D
If the person gets it right, they should get an advance full copy of CW3 (please be me, please be me...). lol
December 16th (if this actually happens, then it will be the best birthday present ever! hehe)
Quote from: Cavemaniac on July 26, 2013, 06:30:12 PM
Quote from: thepenguin on July 26, 2013, 02:28:02 PM
Rules:
2. Betas / Mods are not allowed to compete, as we have information that the rest of you do not.
Darn it!
Just when I thought I had a chance of winning something.
I slightly modified rule #2 to let betas compete... as long as guesses are based on public information. (i.e. no insider trading :))
This probably means that guesses placed by betas close to the release will be voided. all the more reason to start now and guess once per day.
Quote from: Kingo on July 26, 2013, 10:41:29 PM
If the person gets it right, they should get an advance full copy of CW3 (please be me, please be me...). lol
December 16th (if this actually happens, then it will be the best birthday present ever! hehe)
That's technically not allowed under forum rules (but if virgil wants to do a giveaway to the winner, that's great, but I wouldn't be buying people copies)
Though if there were to be a giveaway, I would block out betas and mods completely, as we already have copies of the game.
Just made my one and only guess.
so i need a comedy question to answer... NOPE i've been awake too long and can barely type lol.
Current distribution of guesses, by month.
(http://knucklecracker.com/forums/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=13669.0;attach=14135)
Quote from: thepenguin on July 27, 2013, 07:20:53 AM
Quote from: Kingo on July 26, 2013, 10:41:29 PM
If the person gets it right, they should get an advance full copy of CW3 (please be me, please be me...). lol
December 16th (if this actually happens, then it will be the best birthday present ever! hehe)
That's technically not allowed under forum rules (but if virgil wants to do a giveaway to the winner, that's great, but I wouldn't be buying people copies)
Though if there were to be a giveaway, I would block out betas and mods completely, as we already have copies of the game.
In all seriousness, that was a joke (if that makes any sense... :P )
Quote from: Kingo on July 28, 2013, 02:37:36 PM
In all seriousness, that was a joke (if that makes any sense... :P )
I thought it was, but I'd rather be safe.
Quote from: thepenguin on July 28, 2013, 03:13:18 PM
Quote from: Kingo on July 28, 2013, 02:37:36 PM
In all seriousness, that was a joke (if that makes any sense... :P )
I thought it was, but I'd rather be safe.
Better safe than sorry. :)
16 August - Because that's when my vacation starts, and i NEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEED creeperworld3 for my vacation :/
Quote from: Dark18 on July 29, 2013, 06:34:30 AM
16 August - Because that's when my vacation starts, and i NEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEED creeperworld3 for my vacation :/
You guessed just after me; I guessed the 15th. Great minds think (nearly) alike! 8)
I said Aug 16th third from the start of this thread. :D
pawel345 is officially the most optimistic CW player we have.
He is the first guesser whose guess has passed by now.
(The 29th of July was wishful thinking, but a little unrealistic, I'd say.)
Quote from: thepenguin on July 29, 2013, 10:30:24 PM
pawel345 is officially the most optimistic CW player we have.
He is the first guesser whose guess has passed by now.
(The 29th of July was wishful thinking, but a little unrealistic, I'd say.)
Haha, Pawel, you sure are optimistic. And I agree, you are the most optimistic CW player we have. ;)
I can't remember exactly what I voted (in september) but I'm not going to change my vote at any time or add another vote.
If you vote for the next day every day you can be 100% sure that you'll guess the correct date once...
Quote from: J on July 30, 2013, 03:36:21 AM
I can't remember exactly what I voted (in september) but I'm not going to change my vote at any time or add another vote.
If you vote for the next day every day you can be 100% sure that you'll guess the correct date once...
Let's hope it's that special number in that month(my b-day) that would rock, although I'd be too busy to play the game :(
Hey a little optimism is useful in life :D And I trough about guessing everyday on the next day but that would destroy all the fun.
Quote from: pawel345 on July 30, 2013, 04:40:07 AM
Hey a little optimism is useful in life :D And I trough about guessing everyday on the next day but that would destroy all the fun.
Personally, I'm just waiting for someone to pick something not in the year 2013 (I wonder who will use the "eternity" button first :P)
Quote from: thepenguin on July 29, 2013, 10:30:24 PM
pawel345 is officially the most optimistic CW player we have.
He is the first guesser whose guess has passed by now.
(The 29th of July was wishful thinking, but a little unrealistic, I'd say.)
Up til now I've kept my fool mouth shut - but, erm, I was convinced that CW3 would be out by LAST Christmas!
Virgil's early videos looked awesome and it seemed
so near complete!!But I'm so glad it wasn't released then - the huge number of awesome additions to the game since then, not to mention the massive number of tweeks all contribute to the development time, but add to the overall quality of the game.
In reference to a quote I read elsewhere on this forum - CW3 isn't so much 'full of awesome', CW3 is
made of awesome!
Quote from: Cavemaniac on July 30, 2013, 04:08:52 PM
In reference to a quote I read elsewhere on this forum - CW3 isn't so much 'full of awesome', CW3 is made of awesome!
So true, so true.
Quote from: thepenguin on July 30, 2013, 12:43:55 PM
Personally, I'm just waiting for someone to pick something not in the year 2013 (I wonder who will use the "eternity" button first :P)
Challenge accepted, and completed. :P
Voted (But hope I'm wrong and it's out earlier)
Can you post another chart with slightly more detailled voting results? (early and late in a month)
Is there any way I can see what my vote was? I can't remember what I voted =P
Quote from: J on August 02, 2013, 07:21:52 AM
Is there any way I can see what my vote was? I can't remember what I voted =P
Lol J. :P
Quote from: J on August 02, 2013, 07:21:52 AM
Can you post another chart with slightly more detailled voting results? (early and late in a month)
Is there any way I can see what my vote was? I can't remember what I voted =P
vote sent by PM. I'm working on the chart :)
September 2.
My guess is encoded in this string:
Spoiler
BQAJcHA0HmwbfTxcyDkAAQABA40AlgMAtK4KABAAASA4AAgQqAHQIEAUMzAwEACgKGDkIOIPXAAEwAaAAEABAKCbZDrGwAALZIClFQAYAGAC4AsgPKA+wIPH56rufxAAYKPDCQANDAxAFAA1AA7A/////////////////////////////////////////38AwP////8AwAAAAMAAABkAAAAAGQAAAAAZAABAAgA=
Actually, it's not much of a guess....
Quote from: Grauniad on August 02, 2013, 07:49:46 PM
My guess is encoded in this string:
Spoiler
BQAJcHA0HmwbfTxcyDkAAQABA40AlgMAtK4KABAAASA4AAgQqAHQIEAUMzAwEACgKGDkIOIPXAAEwAaAAEABAKCbZDrGwAALZIClFQAYAGAC4AsgPKA+wIPH56rufxAAYKPDCQANDAxAFAA1AA7A/////////////////////////////////////////38AwP////8AwAAAAMAAABkAAAAAGQAAAAAZAABAAgA=
Actually, it's not much of a guess....
I know what kind of code that is, but do you have any information on decoding it? How do I extract the guess from the map?
There's a thousand ways to glean information from that thing, such that practically any date is possible to extrapolate, given enough time and effort.
good thing I know some codebreakers :D
Edit: I think I broke it. hooray!
Speaking of code strings,
Anyone know what this code represents?
*4.4.*4.4.*
(Not to get off topic, I know Big Moderator Graunidad is watching ;) )
Anyways, CW3 seems to be the revolution of the Creeper World franchise. It's been what, a year or two since CW3 was officially released?
Quote from: thepenguin on August 02, 2013, 05:16:27 PM
I'm working on the chart :)
Remind me to finish the chart tomorrow... I kinda got distracted :(
Quote from: Grauniad on August 02, 2013, 07:49:46 PM
My guess is encoded in this string:
Spoiler
BQAJcHA0HmwbfTxcyDkAAQABA40AlgMAtK4KABAAASA4AAgQqAHQIEAUMzAwEACgKGDkIOIPXAAEwAaAAEABAKCbZDrGwAALZIClFQAYAGAC4AsgPKA+wIPH56rufxAAYKPDCQANDAxAFAA1AA7A/////////////////////////////////////////38AwP////8AwAAAAMAAABkAAAAAGQAAAAAZAABAAgA=
Actually, it's not much of a guess....
So we have to guess what you guessed?
I think it is
Spoiler
August 25
@TP thanks for sending
I should guess consecutive days once every day. . .
Virgil updated the website today! Yay~
In his most recent blog post Picture's Worth (http://knucklecracker.com/blog/index.php/2013/07/pictures-worth/ (http://knucklecracker.com/blog/index.php/2013/07/pictures-worth/)), Virgil said
QuoteWhat’s next? Finish the story missions, add in Credits screen, fix a few last minute bugs, do promotional materials, update web site, rock the house.
Since he just updated the website, the only thing left is to rock the house! ;D Looks like my guess August 12th will be closer than I expected it to be.
[update]
Well... my date went by. I'm a sad panda now :(
FYI:
Last twitterpost (17 Hours ago)
Knuckle Cracker @knucracker 1
#CreeperWorld 3: Currently working on the final story mission. Old friends/enemies make returns.
I guess the release will be in 1-2 weeks :)
o.O then my orginal guess might just be right(o.O rhyme)
"Old friends/enemies make returns."
What does that mean?
-Platius versus Digitalis?
-Thor versus Drones?
-Bertha versus Nexus?
That's gonna be FUN !
Sorry to spoil the mood, but you are aware that there is no reason why the story missions have to be made in any particular order, right? It is totally possible that the final mission is being created as the 10th or 20th mission and there are still more to be done.
Because 2 weeks ago he had allready 21 Missions complete...
My guess is today: If today passes with no release, I shall make another guess. :P
At last, the long-awaited guesses plot #2.
(http://knucklecracker.com/forums/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=13669.0;attach=14572)
I have to say, it's about what I expected.
Quote from: thepenguin on August 21, 2013, 02:40:13 AM
At last, the long-awaited guesses plot #2.
Removed double-posted image -G.
I have to say, it's about what I expected.
Mid-August has come and gone.
Heck, we haven't gotten a blog update that soon... admittedly, I understand V is working hard on the story and last-minute details.
that means at least 29 votes were wrong ;D
I'm happy my vote was in early september
Quote from: J on August 21, 2013, 01:26:17 PM
that means at least 29 votes were wrong ;D
I'm happy my vote was in early september
Note the 'Beta'
Quote from: Mr.H on August 22, 2013, 02:14:27 AM
Quote from: J on August 21, 2013, 01:26:17 PM
that means at least 29 votes were wrong ;D
I'm happy my vote was in early september
Note the 'Beta'
Quote from: thepenguin on July 26, 2013, 02:28:02 PM
2. Betas / Mods are not allowed to compete using insider information that the rest of the competitors do not have.
and I voted only once and directly when this topic was created.
Quote from: Ronini on August 14, 2013, 04:32:25 AM
Sorry to spoil the mood, but you are aware that there is no reason why the story missions have to be made in any particular order, right? It is totally possible that the final mission is being created as the 10th or 20th mission and there are still more to be done.
Actually because of story reason it will be HELL to make a good story if you write parts here and there making almost so sense at the time... have you tried writing a story with random paragraphs? It's not easy or fun...
Quote from: billybob on August 23, 2013, 09:13:27 PM
Quote from: Ronini on August 14, 2013, 04:32:25 AM
Sorry to spoil the mood, but you are aware that there is no reason why the story missions have to be made in any particular order, right? It is totally possible that the final mission is being created as the 10th or 20th mission and there are still more to be done.
Actually because of story reason it will be HELL to make a good story if you write parts here and there making almost so sense at the time... have you tried writing a story with random paragraphs? It's not easy or fun...
While I think the intent of the post was to mean that Virgil was indeed finishing the last story mission he needed to complete, I have to point out that this is exactly how many writers write. In fact, one of the most important things taught in writing courses is to write what is taking your attention most, because that is what will produce the most vivid, powerful, in-voice storytelling. For longer works (like novels) this often means that a book is not written in anything like the order that it is finally printed in. It's less akin to writing paragraphs out of order and more like writing chapters out of order, which I think is a reasonable analogy for the story-missions of creeper world. I see each mission as a chapter in the overall story-arc.
Every author's process is a little different, but writing out of order is extremely common. Some authors manage this by story-boarding the entire novel (or sometimes set of novels) early in their writing process. Other authors story-board very little and discover how pieces of their story fit together after writing numerous movements at different pieces of time. In almost all cases the writing process is full of revision, reworking, and rewriting as the story unfolds..
Don't forget to submit your guesses!
If your original guess date has come and gone, feel free to send in another guess!
Is it cheating if I say 'today'?
It's always today!
In the same way that tomorrow never comes!
I'm gonna guess mid september... the 10th i think.
Not sure where my post went, was probly deleted sicne i voted it would be august... and august is waving goodbye far behind us in the distance now.
Mid September is here, lets hope i get it right, some time this month
I still say December is a good guess...
Of course, these things can't be rushed :P
Looks like today is the day I voted for. If CW3 doesn't get released today, I'll submit a new vote for September 31.
Hey J, there no September 31 ;D
I'll vote for September 30, last day of this month
My Guess was for December (I think) but we'll see what happens. I do have one question though that maybe could be answered.... When it DOES come... Are we going to get a "Release" or a "Release Date?" As in am I going to log into the forums one day and see "CREEPER WORLD 3 RELEASED" Or am I going to log in and see "Creeper world 3 will release on X Date?" And as has been said many times...."Hurry up and take my money!"
I'm sure you will just see the release, same style as the CW2 release
I'll probly just go ahead 10 days in my guess if that's okay if not today ;D
Oct 4th but will be delayed to Oct 6th.
Quote from: sentix on September 10, 2013, 06:37:47 PM
Oct 4th but will be delayed to Oct 6th.
Please no. Pretty please no. I'm soooo impatient I hope you are wrong by a few weeks. September 13th sounds like a good day to me. :D
Whenever its launched, those of us on this side if the dateline will get it first - nearly a day ahead of, say, Hawaii.
The more impatient among you may wish to consider moving to New Zealand.
Hur hur hur!
Oh, wait a moment...
::)
Beta beats New Zealand.
Quote from: Cavemaniac on September 10, 2013, 09:19:54 PM
Whenever its launched, those of us on this side if the dateline will get it first - nearly a day ahead of, say, Hawaii.
The more impatient among you may wish to consider moving to New Zealand.
Hur hur hur!
Oh, wait a moment...
::)
Wait. Don't you Kiwis get it a day "later"? If the game is released on, say, Oct 25th, 10am EST, wouldn't it be Oct 26th in New Zealand already? So you technically would be last to get it?
Quote from: Ronini on September 11, 2013, 01:53:31 AM
Quote from: Cavemaniac on September 10, 2013, 09:19:54 PM
Whenever its launched, those of us on this side if the dateline will get it first - nearly a day ahead of, say, Hawaii.
The more impatient among you may wish to consider moving to New Zealand.
Hur hur hur!
Oh, wait a moment...
::)
Wait. Don't you Kiwis get it a day "later"? If the game is released on, say, Oct 25th, 10am EST, wouldn't it be Oct 26th in New Zealand already? So you technically would be last to get it?
No no no!
If it's due to be released on the 25th,
we get the 25th first!
That's how it works with new iPhone launches - we usually get the first look at the new model!
(yes - I know, I completely sidestepped your 10am EST, but what worries me is that if it was released on the 25th, and it was already the 26th here, does that mean we missed out?!?)
:P
As CW3 wasn't released on 10 september, I just submitted a new vote (hint: it is pretty close to 31 september, which actually is a valid voting option).
Who will win if multiple people have voted for the winning date?
WannitwannitwanniwannIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIT
Quote from: J on September 11, 2013, 10:39:45 AM
Who will win if multiple people have voted for the winning date?
Since there isn't an official prize or anything, I would assume that everyone who voted on the release date would 'win' bragging rights. Unless V is giving away something that we (or at least I) don't know about.
Quote from: JonneeG on September 12, 2013, 06:20:37 PM
Quote from: J on September 11, 2013, 10:39:45 AM
Who will win if multiple people have voted for the winning date?
Since there isn't an official prize or anything, I would assume that everyone who voted on the release date would 'win' bragging rights. Unless V is giving away something that we (or at least I) don't know about.
There will be no prize.
Ya'll just getting played. There is not going to be a CW3.
Can I guess?
Quote from: MadMag on September 13, 2013, 06:33:03 PM
Can I guess?
of course, madmag. I don't really have a problem with beta guesses, but if a beta puts in the right guess 15 minutes before release based on the knowledge that virgil said he was releasing today, I want to be able to disqualify without having to ammend the rules, if you were wondering about rule #2.
In short, it's fine.
102 out of 132 guesses have passed. be sure to submit your guesses with the release this close!
I don't remember what mine is :P
Quote from: CobraKill on September 22, 2013, 08:41:09 PM
I don't remember what mine is :P
PM'ed both to you, they both expired.
It's today isn't it?
Go on - you can tell me!
Quote from: Cavemaniac on September 22, 2013, 11:37:39 PM
It's today isn't it?
Go on - you can tell me!
If you mean the release, you should know that it will take a while to get to release. You're a beta, you should know it will be a while before release.
Quote from: thepenguin on September 22, 2013, 11:49:15 PM
Quote from: Cavemaniac on September 22, 2013, 11:37:39 PM
It's today isn't it?
Go on - you can tell me!
If you mean the release, you should know that it will take a while to get to release. You're a beta, you should know it will be a while before release.
It's always today!
Tomorrow, it'll be today again!
Quote from: thepenguin on September 22, 2013, 08:30:11 PM
102 out of 132 guesses have passed. be sure to submit your guesses with the release this close!
People are very optimistic here!
My second vote is still standing and
I got a feeling it is going to be the right one (with some optimism, of course).
TP, can you post the winners (once the game is released) with when the vote was made and how many times that person voted?
Quote from: J on September 23, 2013, 02:43:39 AM
Quote from: thepenguin on September 22, 2013, 08:30:11 PM
102 out of 132 guesses have passed. be sure to submit your guesses with the release this close!
People are very optimistic here!
My second vote is still standing and I got a feeling it is going to be the right one (with some optimism, of course).
TP, can you post the winners (once the game is released) with when the vote was made and how many times that person voted?
of course I will.
Probably gonna be released at the end of october.
New guess.
October 17th.
That's one fan's birthday according to the blog - and Virgil always does his best to deliver to his loyal fans.
What a birthday present!
Imagine opening a shiny new package of CW3 with thousands of maps built in and billions of on-demand DMD maps - and you're so overcome with emotion that you just don't know where to start and you can hardly see through the tears of pure joy...
;D
My vote:
"Soooooooon"
Somehow I get the feeling V is going to release it on halloween...
weeeeee my guess is coming to pass soon but still have a chance!!! Just saw the trailer (on youtube) the other day, release is coming closer to being realized
Quote from: istinkalot on September 25, 2013, 02:06:02 AM
weeeeee my guess is coming to pass soon but still have a chance!!! Just saw the trailer (on youtube) the other day, release is coming closer to being realized
yep, any day now.
Well I am guessing for October 21st.
I'm going to guess September 28th.
1-10-2013
If you didn't do this already, please submit guesses using the form linked to in the first post, thanks! only guesses submitted there are considered "official"
Thanks,
thepenguin
My gss is tht th gm wll b rlsd n th sm dy pss my pnts t f shr xctmnt.
Disemvoweled for inappropriate language -G.
EDIT: Would "p" have been better than "pss"?
Quote from: TLMike on September 27, 2013, 07:51:29 PM
My gss is tht th gm wll b rlsd n th sm dy pss my pnts t f shr xctmnt.
Disemvoweled for inappropriate language -G.
That is hard to decipher! What kind of weird language did you use, and G, that works very well. ;)
This may be a good time to put an end to permitting new entries, since word of a specific release date now seems to spread on the grapevine....
Quote from: Grauniad on September 29, 2013, 04:43:54 PM
This may be a good time to put an end to permitting new entries, since word of a specific release date now seems to spread on the grapevine....
Agreed, at least end it for beta's now.
Quote from: Grauniad on September 29, 2013, 04:43:54 PM
This may be a good time to put an end to permitting new entries, since word of a specific release date now seems to spread on the grapevine....
All votes have a timestamp on them. if they look suspicious, they will be dealt with. I see no reason to discontinue submissions until the game is released. It's just a little cleanup afterwards. Anyway, we only know virgil's estimated time of release (and that's not more accurate than within a week), but nevertheless, beta guesses will be investigated more thoroughly, and probably blocked.
5 Oct 2013,the time i will get school test
Quote from: Michionlion on September 28, 2013, 09:30:53 AM
That is hard to decipher! What kind of weird language did you use, and G, that works very well. ;)
No weird language. Just inappropriate, apparently.
Also, I was rather hoping for today, even though Virgil said October. Today's me birthday.
Quote from: sentix on September 10, 2013, 06:37:47 PM
Oct 4th but will be delayed to Oct 6th.
And lets hope I was only half right.
https://twitter.com/knucracker/statuses/385904235839098881
It's today!
At least, this side of the international date line - the rest of you will have to wait 'til tomorrow!
Lol, it's 9:26, October 3rd here. At least it will be a Friday tomorrow... I imagine some hard-core gamers of the community will wake up hung-over sleeping on their keyboard, trying desperately to defeat the ridiculous enemies V has cooked up with CPRL :)
Quote from: Kingo on October 04, 2013, 12:27:45 AM
Lol, it's 9:26, October 3rd here. At least it will be a Friday tomorrow... I imagine some hard-core gamers of the community will wake up hung-over sleeping on their keyboard, trying desperately to defeat the ridiculous enemies V has cooked up with CPRL :)
Mmmm.
Nobody's gonna get anything else done this weekend...
Wow. I was one day off. My sister will have a lovely birthday, even though she knows nothing about the game :P . Alright I'll just be happy, but hey, that counts right?
Also anyone noticed the Upcoming Release chatter being moved up? Maybe it's going to be morphed into the CW3 section of the forums.
Quote from: Mr.H on October 04, 2013, 01:36:31 AM
Also anyone noticed the Upcoming Release chatter being moved up? Maybe it's going to be morphed into the CW3 section of the forums.
the title has already changed to CW3
Of course the game is going to come out today. ;D I'm leaving on a vacation trip this morning.
After voting sept 10, sept 28, oct 12 and oct 9, my last vote goes to the 5th of october.
I think someone forgot to mention what timezone this will be.
ARGH! The way I have my RSS setup, the blog is under the same category as some Steam feed, so when Valve posted about some L4D2 update, I was in a position in which I thought V posted about buying CW3 when I saw there was a new item in that category.
It is now officially closed.
Winners are being evaluated.
yay i won ( in my timezone actually)
Winners receive a free penguin!
feel free to visit the north pole to receive the prize
oh boy... are they taking the penguins there?
No karsten, we remain firmly based at the south pole.
The problem is that the computers keep freezing.
it wont freeze,we put coal to turn on the comp